Can Analysts Analyze Mergers?
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چکیده
We study how M&As shape analysts’ coverage decisions and whether this process reveals information about the valuation and future performance of the merged firms. Since the target firm is delisted after the M&A, we expect and find that the majority of the analysts covering the target drop their coverage of the merged firm. However, the target analysts who retain coverage provide the most accurate earnings forecasts for the merged firms. A greater percentage of target analysts providing coverage of the merged firms is associated with better long-run stock performance of the merged firm. We do not find this relation with acquirer analysts. The superiority of the target analysts over other analysts in forecasting accuracy and prediction of stock performance falls, however, after the implementation of Regulation Fair Disclosure. Our results suggest that target analysts choose to cover merged firms that they can forecast accurately and those that are undervalued.
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Can Analysts Analyze Mergers?
Merger and Acquisitions (M&As) provide a plausibly exogenous shock to analysts’ decision to drop, add or maintain coverage of the merged firms. Higher caliber analysts covering the acquiring and target firms before the M&A deal are more likely to cover the merged firm. The majority of target analysts drop coverage of the merged firm following the delisting of the target stock. However, the targ...
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